Week 17, Saturday

Yesterdays Projections  12/71 = 17%

Lock Time = 4:00

Free Agents that went over 20 yesterday

28% of FAs were 20+ yesterday
Richaun Holmes  29
Andre Roberson  24
Russell  24
Lavoy Allen  22
Denzel Valentine  22
CJ Miles  21
Rondo  21
Mirotic  21
Marquese Chriss  21
Michael Beasely  20
Willie Reed  20

PLAYS KING OF 2017 Season
2016 Plays King = Todd   867
2015 Plays King = Ritter  829
After week 17 we have had 6,305 total plays on the year. Average of 630 per team. With only 4 weeks of plays left to add up. We have 4 contenders for the Plays King of 2017. In 4th right now is Ritter with 650. 3rd is Todd with 651, Matt comes in second at 653 and are leader right now is Dalton with 661. Dalton is projected the most plays this week with 55. And if he keeps that projection up he will have 716 plays on the year. But with 3 weeks to go he would have to average more then 50 plays a week to catch Todd's record. So I think Todd's record is safe or the year.
Also on the season we are averaging 17.8 points on every play. That is substantially higher then are last 2 seasons. Here are the season totals on average per play on last 3 seasons.
2015 = 16.6
2016 = 16.9
2017 = 17.8

PLAY PROJECTIONS
Ritter (48)  50  vs   Dalton (50)  55
Eric (48)  49  vs   Gher (46)  48
Deek (51)  44  vs   Dane (49)  48
Nathan (51) 48  vs   Kapper (51)  47
Matt (45)  41   vs   Todd (49)  48

________________

Record = 14-2

Player Avg =  19.7

Scoring Avg = 803

Point Differential =  +1,925

Weeks over 700 = 13

Weeks over 800 = 11

#1 Ritter 
Harden  34
Waiters  20
Johnson  14
Towns  34
Holiday  17
Batum  19
Evans  13

---Total---151
--Scored--155

Record = 10-6

Player Avg =  17.9

Scoring Avg = 741

Point Differential = +344

Weeks over 700 = 11

Weeks over 800 = 3

#2 Dalton
Millsap  22
Turner  17
Gordon  15
Capela  17
Lin  14
Portis  11
Holmes  13

---Total---109
--Scored--89

Ritter  36---19.4

Dalton  43---14.2

The Dream Crushers are behind 7 plays at the moment and still has the lead. This could be the largest spread of plays in a victory that we have ever seen. 

_____________________________

Record = 5-11

Player Avg =  17.0

Scoring Avg = 664

Point Differential = -867

Weeks over 700 = 5

Weeks over 800 = 2

#8 Eric

Teague  24
Wade  23
Mello  24
Dirk  20
Vucevic  24
Hardaway  16
Schroder  20
Lopez  23

---Total---175

--Scored--145

Record = 3-13

Player Avg =  17.3

Scoring Avg = 668

Point Differential = -949

Weeks over 700 = 6

Weeks over 800 = 1

#10 Gher

Rose  19
Thompson  22
Ariza  14
Howard  28
Payton  15
Curry  17
Anderson  15

---Total---130

--Scored--130

Eric  36---16.0

Gher  36---15.9

We have 2 really close matches this week. At least we have some excitement. And here it is. Eric has to win to keep his chances alive. Gher is trying to eliminate him it would appear. Can Eric hold him off and get the win. Next week Eric faces Deek and thats a huge match for him. But first he needs to put Gher down. Will he do it?

______________________________

Record = 8-8

Player Avg = 18.0 

Scoring Avg = 692

Point Differential = -407

Weeks over 700 = 8

Weeks over 800 = 4

#6 Deek

Walker  22
Fournier  15
MKG  17
Booker  15
Mathews  17

---Total---86

--Scored--64

Record = 5-11

Player Avg = 17.1

Scoring Avg = 638

Point Differential = -1,089

Weeks over 700 = 4

Weeks over 800 = 0

#9 Dane
Covington  22
Dragic  21
Davis  33
Iguodala  16
Lopez  16
Korver  16
Lee  17
Williams  16

---Total---157

--Scored--137

Deek  32---22.5
Dane  35---18.7

___________________

Record = 9-7

Player Avg = 18.0

Scoring Avg = 708

Point Differential = +360

Weeks over 700 = 9

Weeks over 800 = 3

#5 Nathan

George  18
Noel  22
Green  24
Thompson  19
McConnell  20
Hernangomez  20
Williams  18

---Total---141

--Scored--88

Record = 9-7

Player Avg = 18.3

Scoring Avg = 703

Point Differential = +130 

Weeks over 700 = 10

Weeks over 800 = 3

#4 Kapper

Irving  23
Butler  25
Saric  20
Cousins  36
Johnson  16
Gordon  15

---Total---135

--Scored--135

Nathan  35---18.3

Kapper  34---18.5

Here is are other close match. Nate is up a little but i have these 2 guys projected to finish with in 2 points of each other. Talk about close. There both set to make the playoffs but i think Nate has chance at the 2 seed. A loss here vs Kapper and he very well could be losing that chance at a bye and instead giving Kapper the possibility of becoming a 2 seed.

__________________

Record = 11-5

Player Avg = 17.6

Scoring Avg = 718

Point Differential = +709

Weeks over 700 = 8

Weeks over 800 = 2

#3 Matt

Collison  18
Barnes  17
Whiteside  25
Dieng  20
Curry  30
Young  14
Stein  20

---Total---158

--Scored--124

Record = 6-10

Player Avg = 17.1

Scoring Avg = 698

Point Differential = -156

Weeks over 700 = 7

Weeks over 800 = 1

#7 Todd

Rubio  23
Wiggins  21
Beverley  15
Kaminsky  22

---Total---81

--Scored--93

Matt  29---15.0

Todd  36---18.3

Week 17, Friday

Yesterdays Projections 14/58 = 24%

Lock Time = 6:00

Free Agents that went over 20 yesterday

4% of FAs were 20+ yesterday
Courtney Lee  31

I have been looking through everyone's rosters a lot lately and I noticed something the other day. Few teams have several guys on same team. For example Dane ownes Julius Randle and Nick Young. And before the trade with the Rockets he also owned another Laker in Williams. I give you this example because when I did these stats Dane was only person who owned any Laker players. Now only 2 Lakers players are owned in our league. I will talk about this more later on. But for now I want to talk about our teams and who has multiple players on one team. I think its essential to not get to many guys from one team. Like the old saying goes, dont put all your eggs into one basket. So lets see what teams have multiple players from one team. 


Eric
Teague
Robinson III 
Eric dropped Robinson, leaving him as the only team who doe not have duo players on a NBA team. I made this during All Star break.
Ritter
James Johnson
Waiters 
Dalton
Capela
Gordon
Dane
Randle
Young
Matt
Collison
Stein
Kapper
Hill
Favors

Those 6 teams only had 2 guys from one NBA team. 

Gher
Harris
Jackson
------------
Anderson
Ariza

Nathan
Noel
McConnell
--------------
Gobert
Hayward

Those 2 teams have 4 players on 2 NBA teams. But these next 2 teams have put a lot of eggs in one basket.  These 2 teams have 6 players on 3 NBA teams, making the T Wolves,Celtics and Nuggets Todd's new favorite teams and Hornets,Nuggets and Wizards Deek's new favorite teams. I think Todd and Deek should get together and watch a Nuggets game sometime lol. 

Todd
Wiggins
Rubio
------------
Olynyk
Bradley
------------
Barton 
Nelson

Deek
Kemba Walker
MKG
-------------------
Jokic
W.Chandler
-------------------
Wall 
Porter jr

PLAY PROJECTIONS
Ritter (48)  51  vs   Dalton (50)  55
Eric (48)  46  vs   Gher (46)  48
Deek (51)  46  vs   Dane (49)  48
Nathan (51) 50  vs   Kapper (51)  46
Matt (45)  42   vs   Todd (49)  50

________________

Record = 14-2

Player Avg =  19.7

Scoring Avg = 803

Point Differential =  +1,925

Weeks over 700 = 13

Weeks over 800 = 11

#1 Ritter 
Westbrook 35
Waiters  20
Griffin  23
Towns  29
Johnson  17
Aldridge  20
Smart  15
LeVert  15

---Total---174
--Scored--170

Record = 10-6

Player Avg =  17.9

Scoring Avg = 741

Point Differential = +344

Weeks over 700 = 11

Weeks over 800 = 3

#2 Dalton
Middleton  13
Harris  17
Millsap  20
Turner  17
Lin  14
Paul  20
Portis  10

---Total---135
--Scored--109

Ritter  28---18.9

Dalton  36---14.0

Dalton has brought this match back. What a night he had oh wait. Its more like, look at the night Ritter didnt have. His team had the worst night that I can remember all year. If Dalton keeps up on his plays then he could break the win streak of the Dream Crusher's

_____________________________

Record = 5-11

Player Avg =  17.0

Scoring Avg = 664

Point Differential = -867

Weeks over 700 = 5

Weeks over 800 = 2

#8 Eric

Teague  22
Wade  20
Dirk  18
Gasol  24
Schroder  17
Lopez  21
Ibaka  16
Hardaway  16

---Total---154

--Scored--99

Record = 3-13

Player Avg =  17.3

Scoring Avg = 668

Point Differential = -949

Weeks over 700 = 6

Weeks over 800 = 1

#10 Gher

Conley  20
GA  24
Howard  19
Plumlee  15
Curry  16
Horford  18

---Total---112

--Scored--122

Eric  28---17.0

Gher  30---15.0

Eric needs this win to stay in playoff contention. It is very close match at this point.

______________________________

Record = 8-8

Player Avg = 18.0 

Scoring Avg = 692

Point Differential = -407

Weeks over 700 = 8

Weeks over 800 = 4

#6 Deek
Wall  28
Mathews  17
Booker  16
Porter  24
Adams  18

Jokic  36

---Total---139

--Scored--110

Record = 5-11

Player Avg = 17.1

Scoring Avg = 638

Point Differential = -1,089

Weeks over 700 = 4

Weeks over 800 = 0

#9 Dane
Beal  20
Covington  18
Randle  16
Randolph  16
Dragic  23
Bledsoe  25
Lopez  16
Dedmon  18

---Total---152

--Scored--179

Deek  26---23.5
Dane  27---17.6

Deek had a huge night. Team is looking pretty good.

___________________

Record = 9-7

Player Avg = 18.0

Scoring Avg = 708

Point Differential = +360

Weeks over 700 = 9

Weeks over 800 = 3

#5 Nathan

Thomas  27
Hayward  23
George  16
Gobert  24
Morris  18
Jordan  24
McConnell  17

---Total---149

--Scored--129

Record = 9-7

Player Avg = 18.3

Scoring Avg = 703

Point Differential = +130 

Weeks over 700 = 10

Weeks over 800 = 3

#4 Kapper

Hill  15
Gallinari  15
Butler  25
Saric  17
Favors  16
DeRozan  26
Leonard  33
Booker  17

---Total---162

--Scored--180

Nathan  28----18.3

Kapper  26----17.3

Cousins looks like he did not mind moving over to the Pelicans. Scored 46 fantasy points last night. But True Holiday sure sucked. Lets hope Cousins doesnt take away all production from the Pelicans.

__________________

Record = 11-5

Player Avg = 17.6

Scoring Avg = 718

Point Differential = +709

Weeks over 700 = 8

Weeks over 800 = 2

#3 Matt

Barnes  16

Whiteside  26

Dieng  16

Crowder  15

Kanter  12

---Total---85

--Scored--45

Record = 6-10

Player Avg = 17.1

Scoring Avg = 698

Point Differential = -156

Weeks over 700 = 7

Weeks over 800 = 1

#7 Todd

Rubio  20
Wiggins 24
Barton  21
Monroe  20
Gortat  24
Valanciunas  18
Olynyk  16
Nelson  17

---Total---160

--Scored--112

Matt  24---16.2

Todd  28---19.5

I am sure they are both ready for next week to get here. Matt is down 157 and im sure this match is over right?

2017 NBA Defense vs. Position Stats

Now for this I had to use Draft Kings scoring system. But that doesn't change the fact on how these teams have performed on the season. Below you will see what teams give up the most points per position and also what teams guard each position the best.  I am only ranking the Top 10 and the Bottom 10. Top 10 are the teams you want to face in these positions and the Bottom 10 are the teams you do not want to face. I am showing you guys this because this is what I look at when trying to figure out projections everyday. I think it helps me so I hope it helps you to.

So what your looking at below is how many points that team gives up on average to that position during the season and the last 10 games.

POINT GUARDS

-------Season↓-----Last 10 Games

   1. NETS  60.7-----Cav's  67.1

 2. Nuggets 58.8----Magic  60.0

     3. Cav's  57.7-----Suns  60.0

  4. Pelicans  57.6-  -Pelicans  59.5

     5. Lakers  57.6-----Lakers  58.6

      6.Magic  57.0----Clippers  57.1

        7. Suns  55.9----Nuggets  56.7

        8. Bulls  55.8----Thunder  56.2

  9. Thunder  55.4--------Bulls  55.9

  10. Hawks  55.4------Pacers  55.6

----------------------------------------------

   21. Rockets  52.1-----Pistons  50.8

   22. Wizards  51.8---Grizzlies  50.3

    23. Blazers  51.8-------76ers  50.2

24. Grizzlies  51.7-----Hawks  50.2

         25. Heat  51.5-----Wizards  49.9

        26. Bucks  50.8---Mavericks  47.5

   27. Clippers  50.6-------Buckes  47.1

        28. Spurs  50.1--------Spurs  47.0

          29. Jazz  48.9-----Raptors  45.8

30. Mavericks  46.9----------Jazz  44.0

Shooting Guards

-------Season↓-----Last 10 Games

1. Nuggets  47.0-----Kings  48.7

      2. Nets  44.8-------Nets  46.4

      3. Kings  44.2---Nuggets  46.3

   4. Rockets  43.7--------Suns  45.8

  5. Hornets  43.5--------Bulls  45.5

       6. Cav's  43.3------Hawks  44.3

               7. Bucks  43.3----T Wolves  44.1

     8. Spurs  42.9----Hornets  44.0

   9. Knicks  42.8------Bucks  43.8

10. Lakers  42.7-------Cav's  43.1

-----------------------------------------

21. Clippers  40.3-----Lakers  39.9

       22. Bulls  40.0---Grizzlies  39.2

23. Thunder  39.9-----Pacers  38.9

  24. Grizzlies  39.5-----Warriors  38.2

 25. T Wolves  39.2------Raptors  38.1

   26. Wizards  38.6-------Celtics  37.9

     27. Pistons  38.6------Pistons  36.5

         28. Heat  37.4---------Jazz  34.9

   29. Raptors  36.5--------Heat  34.7

         30. Jazz  35.9----Wizards  31.5

Small Forwards

-------Season↓-----Last 10 Games

1. Nets  47.7-----Nuggets  56.1

2. Bucks  45.9-----Hawks  49.2

3. Lakers  44.8-----T Wolves  48.0

4. Cav's  44.2-----Thunder  47.8

5. Hawks  43.9-----Rockets  47.6

6. Blazers  43.8-----Pacers  47.0

7. Magic  43.7-----Clippers  46.6

8. Clippers  43.5-----Nets  45.8

9. Hornets  43.3-----Knicks  45.8

10. Rockets  43.3-----Blazers  45.6

------------------------------------------

     21. Kings  41.8--------Mavericks  41.5

22. Nuggets  41.6-----------Raptors  41.4

23. T Wolves  41.1-------------Celtics  41.2  

 24. Raptors  41.0--------------Bucks  40.2

       25. Heat  40.8-----------Pelicans  39.7

   26. Pistons  39.7---------------Kings 39.0

 27. Mavericks  39.4---------------Heat  37.8

28. Grizzlies  39.0-------------- Spurs  35.3

      29. Spurs  36.6---------------- Suns  35.1

        30. Jazz  34.9----------------Jazz  28.5

Power Forwards

-------Season↓-----Last 10 Games

1. Nets  51.0-----Hornets  53..5

2. Lakers  50.3-----Nets  52.8

3. Blazers  49.6-----Wizards  52.6

4. Suns  48.5-----Knicks  51.9

5. Pelicans  48.4-----Suns  50.4

6. Raptors  48.1-----T Wolves  49.4

7. Wizards  48.0-----Bucks  49.1

8. Celtics  47.7-----Raptors  49.0

9. Pacers  47.6-----Warriors  48.7

10. Knicks  47.0-----Hawks  48.7

-----------------------------------------

     21. Bulls  45.1-----Spurs  44.8

22. T Wolves  45.1-----Celtics  44.7

   23. Cav's  44.8-----Jazz  44.7

          24. 76ers  44.5-----Thunder  44.4

     25. Heat  44.0-----Heat  43.4

26. Clippers  43.6-----Bulls  43.1

       27. Grizzlies  42.8-----Mavericks  42.8

      28. Spurs  42.7-----Blazers  42.7

29. Mavericks  42.5-----Pelicans  40.7

         30. Jazz  41.0--------Cav's  39.1

Centers

-------Season↓-----Last 10 Games

1. 76ers  54.7-----76ers  63.6

2. Lakers  53.4-----Rockets  63.2

3. Rockets  52.9-----Lakers  59.5

4. Nets  51.9-----Clippers  58.9

5. Pelicans  51.8-----Bucks  58.3

6. Knicks  51.4-----Nuggets  56.8

7. Hornets  50.9-----Warriors  56.4

8. Warriors  50.5-----Heat  55.4

9. Heat  50.4-----Nets  55.3

10. Suns  50.3-----Pelicans  55.2

-----------------------------------------

21. Raptors  48.0---------Jazz  49.2

        22. Kings  47.8-----Mavericks  49.0

  23. Bulls  47.8-----Pistons  49.0

24. Cav's  47.6-----Suns  47.5

25. Pistons  47.3-----Spurs  46.7

  26. Thunder  46.7-----T Wolves  46.4

27. Hawks  45.5-----Pacers  45.7

   28. Jazz  44.3-----Bulls  45.3

      29. Spurs  43.6-----Grizzlies  43.7

30. Grizzlies  41.7-----Kings  42.4

Stats Write Up

We are down to just 3 and half weeks to go in the season. Lets take a look at every team and see how they doing shall we.

FGM = Field Goals Made

FTM = Free Throws Made

REB = Rebounds

Ast = Assist

Stl =  Steals

Blk = Blocks

DD = Double Double

TD =  Triple Double

PF = Points For

PA = Points Against

Here are your stat rankings

#10 Gher 

FGM - 6

FTM - 8

REB -9

AST - 6

STL - 8

BLK - 2

DD - 9

TD - 10

 PF - 8

 PA - 1

TOTAL - 67

#9 Dane

FGM - 4

FTM - 4

REB -10

AST - 9

STL - 8

BLK - 10

DD - 10

TD - 7

PF - 10

PA - 6

TOTAL - 78

#8 Eric

FGM - 5

FTM - 6

REB - 8

AST - 4

STL - 10

BLK - 4

DD - 7

TD - 4

 PF - 9

PA - 3

TOTAL - 60

#7 Todd

FGM - 8

FTM - 9

REB - 2

AST - 10

STL - 7

BLK - 5

DD - 4

TD - 6

PF - 6

 PA - 5

TOTAL - 62

#6 Deek

FGM - 9

FTM - 10

REB - 5

AST - 2

STL - 4

BLK - 9

DD - 3

TD - 2

PF - 7

PA - 4

TOTAL - 55

#5 Nathan

FGM - 10

FTM - 3

REB - 4

AST - 6

STL - 3

BLK - 8

DD - 6

TD - 8

PF - 4

PA - 8

TOTAL - 60

#4 Kapper

FGM - 3

FTM - 2

REB - 7

AST -  8

STL - 6

BLK - 7

DD - 5

TD - 9

PF - 5

PA - 7

TOTAL - 59

#3  Matt

FGM - 2

FTM - 7

REB -6

AST - 5

STL - 5

BLK - 3

DD - 8

TD - 5

PF - 3

PA - 10

TOTAL - 54

#2 Dalton

FGM - 7

FTM - 5

REB -3

AST - 3

STL - 3

BLK - 1

DD - 2

TD - 3

PF - 2

PA - 2

TOTAL - 31

#1 Ritter

FGM - 1

FTM - 1

REB -1

AST - 1

STL - 1

BLK - 6

DD - 1

TD - 1

PF - 1

PA - 9

TOTAL - 23

RECAP

1. Ritter  23

2. Dalton  31

3. Matt 54

4. Deek  55

5. Kapper  59

6. Nathan  60

7. Eric  60

8. Todd  62

9. Gher  67

10. Dane  78

It would appear that Eric, Dane and Gher are eliminated from playoff contention. Leaving just 7 teams and only 6 can make the playoffs. As of right now it looks like Todd will miss the playoffs. But his team is playing super great right now. Monroe and Wiggins have stepped up there game lately making Todd's team very tough to beat. I think it will come down to Kapper, Deek and Todd for the 5 and 6 seeds. Kapper has had a lot of injury's and has had players sit out a lot. Which has made Kapper have to fight to stay in playoffs. And now with the KINGS and PELICANS trade. Cousins will have to take a dip in production, leaving Kapper once again with a problem on his team. Deek's team usually always balls out! With his top 3 being Lebron,Wall and Jokic he will always have a chance at 200 point day when they all play. But Deek has a tough schedule in last 3 weeks and that could open the door for Todd to make the playoffs. It very well could come down to week 20 were Todd goes up against Deek. This could very well be a winner take all match. 

The other 4 slots are pretty much sold already. Ritter has cemented himself as the one seed with Matt getting a loss to Todd this week. But the other bye and the 2 seed is still up for grabs. No offense Matt but i think it will come down to Nathan and Dalton for the 2 seed. Matt's team has struggled lately and his player average proves it. If he cant get his team to turn it around then Matt could be looking at a first round loss in playoffs this year. But like i said, i think it will come down to Nate and Dalton for the 2 seed. And i think Dalton will beat Nate out for that final bye slot. But we still have 3 weeks. Anything can happen.